The Phils' # that matters

Yes the Eagles are playing the Colts in a meaningless preseason game in which the defense looked porous, the Eagles first team offense and Andy Reid continued their 3rd and 1 ineptitude (really, a pass?), and clock management was terrible again at the end of the half, but my friend PK writes about the Phils' postseason possibilities:

LAD - 70-49 (playing StL as I type)
Phils - 67-49
StL -68-52
Marlins - 64-55

Ok, let's start with Florida (and the rest of the NL East). If we play  right at our current winning % of roughly .580, we should handle the division. Because we're 6 ahead in the loss column, it's gonna take a
massive Phils collapse or a massive fish run. If we go 27-19 down the stretch - .580 winning % - we finish with 94 wins. To match that, the Marlins have to go 30-13. A a tall order.

Now, to secure the No 2 slot in playoffs, we may have to step it up a notch. The Cards could get to 94 wins by going up above .600 down the stretch (26-16) or a little better to nudge ahead of us.

So, I'm now hoping for a finish of 29-17 or 30-16. That gets us to 96 or 97 wins. Probably a realistic number but also a stretch in a season of this many blown saves.
         
PS - final thought. If we go 30-16 in the final stretch and finish with 97 wins, the Dodgers need to go 27-18 to tie us. That's not that spectacular, but given how LAD has been playing the last month, that  The might be a tall order. We could earn home-field throughout playoffs .