Dusty Baker Strategy?

Again from my friend PK who suggests Dusty Baker's strategy in throwing Voquez in game 1:

Look at these Reds' pitchers' stats. Arroyo is clearly their best pitcher, 17-10 on the season with a 3.88 ERA.

Baker seems to be offering up a worse pitcher against Halladay in order to back load for Games 2, 3, expecting to lose Game 1 -- no matter who he starts -- but then giving himself a better chance in the other 2 games. If he can get 4-5 innings in Game 1 from Volquez, then just put in all his lefty relievers -- Wood, Rhodes, etc -- he might be able to steal game 1. If not, no big deal.