The PA primary

Since the professional political class has gotten so much of the 2008 presidential campaign so wrong, so often I thought it safe to offer my own predictions about the results of tonight’s Pennsylvania primary. I can’t do any worse than the people who get paid to predict and/or analyze the elections.

 

Hillary Clinton will win tonight, no surprise there. Though she wins by less than double digits. So will the coverage focus on her inability to win by double digits and truly cut into Obama’s popular vote and delegate count leads? Or will the theme be that despite being outspent by a 5:1 ratio Clinton still managed to pull out a solid victory.

 

And I also predict that the election results will sadly but starkly breakdown along racial lines. So stark, in fact, that it will be hard for the media to ignore the growing issue of racial polarization in this race. Whether there will also be coverage of what this portends for Obama’s chances in the general is likely doubtful.